Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000795 0.000907 0.001025 0.001159 0.001306 0.001463 0.001642
2024-12-22 0.000611 0.000764 0.000938 0.001147 0.001392 0.001667 0.001997
2024-12-29 0.000513 0.000683 0.000884 0.001137 0.001444 0.001801 0.002244
2025-01-05 0.000442 0.000623 0.000847 0.001138 0.001503 0.001940 0.002495
2025-01-12 0.000381 0.000567 0.000804 0.001124 0.001536 0.002041 0.002699
2025-01-19 0.000329 0.000514 0.000761 0.001103 0.001555 0.002123 0.002876
2025-01-26 0.000301 0.000492 0.000754 0.001126 0.001630 0.002274 0.003142
2025-02-02 0.000275 0.000470 0.000744 0.001145 0.001697 0.002414 0.003397
2025-02-09 0.000242 0.000433 0.000711 0.001126 0.001711 0.002485 0.003562
2025-02-16 0.000213 0.000398 0.000676 0.001103 0.001718 0.002544 0.003710
2025-02-23 0.000196 0.000381 0.000668 0.001116 0.001773 0.002668 0.003946
2025-03-02 0.000180 0.000365 0.000657 0.001125 0.001822 0.002784 0.004174
2025-03-09 0.000156 0.000333 0.000622 0.001095 0.001813 0.002822 0.004297
2025-03-16 0.000135 0.000303 0.000587 0.001064 0.001802 0.002854 0.004413
2025-03-23 0.000122 0.000286 0.000571 0.001061 0.001831 0.002944 0.004610
2025-03-30 0.000110 0.000271 0.000557 0.001059 0.001862 0.003036 0.004812
2025-04-06 0.000098 0.000253 0.000537 0.001047 0.001874 0.003100 0.004975
2025-04-13 0.000086 0.000234 0.000514 0.001026 0.001873 0.003145 0.005108
2025-04-20 0.000081 0.000229 0.000515 0.001048 0.001940 0.003291 0.005392
2025-04-27 0.000076 0.000223 0.000515 0.001066 0.001999 0.003426 0.005663
2025-05-04 0.000067 0.000207 0.000494 0.001048 0.002001 0.003473 0.005803
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000192 0.000473 0.001027 0.001995 0.003509 0.005926
2025-05-18 0.000055 0.000186 0.000470 0.001039 0.002044 0.003631 0.006181